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Dick
De Jong
January 14, 2007
HDTV Solutions
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Wrap
up
After a few days post CES, I have had a chance to digest the experience and put a modicum of perspective on the event.
Blame it on the fact that my eyes are still recovering from flat panel overload, but my overriding impression from CES is that those lithe HDTVs that seemed so exotic only a few short Super Bowls ago are now everywhere you turn. And are being branded and sold by everyone and their great uncle Ned. |
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I saw booths adorned with 42, 47, and 52"; LCDs from manufacturers that I have never heard of. But my unfamiliarity doesn't mean that these TVs aren't good. I would never make such a snap assessment about quality.
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Broksonic 42" Plasma
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But this proliferation
of brands along with our quick transition from buying those not-quite-old-enough-to-be-retro
bulky CRTs to purchasing these oh-so-avant-garde slinky sets does indicate
that flat screen HDTVs are fast becoming a commodity as common and everyday
as a car. Or to pick another household item that we are all chummy with
- a TV. Or as I uttered more than once at CES when I was asked about
this or that new model, "It's a TV."
I know that I'm stating
the obvious, but with all the technospeak and marketing hype surrounding
these utterly lovely high definition displays, it's easy to forget
that they derive from the bloodlines of that out of the world Quasar TV
on which you watched the Packers and the Chiefs in the first Super Bowl
forty years ago. Or for those less ancient, can it already be ten years
since we were conspiratorially enjoying The X-Files on the original "flat
screen" TV, the Sony Trinitron WEGA? |
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The technology has definitely
evolved, (for the better, I must say), but sometimes you think you need
a degree in electrical engineering to understand the jargon. If and ultimately
when you become befuddled by chromaticity diagrams and 3-3 pulldowns and
4-wavelength backlight systems, remember, it's a TV. Granted, it's
bigger, more beautiful and in higher definition, but it's still
the granddaughter of that zesty Zenith and that trusty RCA.
If you can place discussions
about codecs and resolutions in the context of your familiar TV viewing
experience, then you can begin to prioritize what features are important
to you when you are deciding which high tech HDTV to purchase. |
Chromaticity Diagram
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Back
to the future
I hate to make
predictions because they inevitably come back to bite you in the butt;
but I think I'm seeing a resting period in this breakneck race
for resolution. Even though Sharp hinted at a 4000 x 2000 pixel LCD,
I believe we will be catching our breaths at 1080p for hopefully, at
least, a couple of years.
I think consumers
need some time to digest this milestone before the industry induces
motion sickness with a lurch to higher resolutions beyond 1080p. Right
now, about the only way to deliver any 1080p content is through the
competing high def DVD formats and that battle has slowed the adoption
of that distribution pipeline. On the old media front, broadcasters
seem to be content with delivering 720p and 1080i. And TV or movies
over the Internet will need a boost in bandwidth before it's feasible
to stream or download content with a resolution above 1080p.
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Really
Big Screen
The Light and Water Show at the Wynn
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Of course, don't
delude yourself that research and development or the marketing machine
has ground to a standstill. It hasn't and that's a good
thing. The marketing mavens need to differentiate their 1080p from the
next guy's and the R&D teams are supplying the ammunition with improved
features like higher contrast displays with an expanded color gamut.
And, to our
delight, bigger screens were everywhere, plasmas, LCDs, and rear projection
TVs. With the LCDs announced at CES, the next increments of size are
52" and 57".
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LG LY3D Series in 47, 52 and
57", 1080p
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When it comes to screen size, consumers often look for the sweet spot - the screen size that is not that much more expensive than the next smaller size, but where you pay a real premium to step up to the next larger size. Over the last couple of years, we have seen the sweet point for LCD screens escalate
from 32" to 37" to 42". By the end of 2007, sweet might taste like 47" as their sticker price approaches or drops below '06's 42" level. And if the past year is a good indicator, we should see prices for many 42" models (especially the 720p's) duck under the $1000 mark.
Of course, as screen sizes expand, picture resolution becomes a very visible consideration. And when we all start mounting 75" TVs on our living room walls, we will need to resume our discussion about 4000 x 2000 pixel panels. For now, that's a wrap of CES 2007. If you have any questions or comments, drop me a line. Stay tuned.
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